Scientific Analysis of E3 2009

[Chandoo]

Basically, what this is, is that video gaming website, Bitmob, researched the Neogaf E3 threads and made up a scientific analysis based on reactions and whatnot as to how E3 went. Interesting read if nothing else.

Some interesting results here as games like Modern Warfare 2, God Of War III, Uncharted 2, FFXIII, SC : Conviction, Forza 3 didn't excite the general audiences.


copy pasting as is from neogaf.

To recap, Bitmob member Andrew Hiscock waded through all three GAF conference posts and charted the positive/negative reactions to each, measuring interest-over-time. Nintendo and Microsoft results were posted previously, but this is the One Post to rule them all, and includes Sony conference info.


Full article discussing the results -- see this for more info, conclusions, and links to individual conference articles:
Hardcore Gamers vs. The Big Three E3 Press Conferences: An Empirical Study Considered


Selected highlights:

'Who won E3,' a consistent theme appearing in the threads studied, is beyond the scope of this informal study. Only the immediate reactions were tabulated, and plenty of discussion has occurred in the week following the press conferences. But we can still take the sum total of comments for each press conference. The results are below:

Total Sums for Entire Conferences
Microsoft: 488
Sony: 33
Nintendo: -372




The highest scores are ranked as follows:

Final Fantasy 14 announcement: 85
Crackdown 2 announcement: 83
Metroid: The Other M announcement: 77
Alan Wake demo: 73
New Super Mario Bros. Wii announcement: 50
Super Mario Galaxy 2 announcement: 49

The lowest scores are ranked as follows:

Wii Vitality Sensor announcement: -80
Final Fantasy XIV revealed as MMO: -58
PSP Go priced at $249.99: -48
Cammie Dunaway's Appearance: -47
Hannah Montana PSP: -46
Motion Control Elephant Painting: -39



"First, as rule, NeoGAF members do not like the following: montages, long speeches, motion control, ugly/male/notepad-using translators, casual titles and marketing, or canned/forced humor. They prefer candid humor, digs at the competition, demos over trailers, trailers over no-footage announcements, exclusives over cross-platform titles, and new announcements (referred to as "MEGATON") over already revealed information.

It should be noted that in nearly all instances of an appearance of a known person -- whether executive, developer, or celebrity -- the threads responded initially as positive. The sole exceptions to this were: Cammie Dunaway, Yoko Ono, and Peter Molyneux. It is beyond the scope of this study to conclude that either Cammie Dunaway or Peter Molyneux is the Yoko Ono of video games.

Also, interestingly, in all instances of a positive reaction to a known person, opinion quickly turned negative. All previously unknown speakers were uniformly lambasted upon appearances, unless members of the forum found the presenter to be an attractive female."


The Graphs

All three conferences compared:

FULL SIZE IMAGE


Microsoft conference:

FULL SIZE IMAGE
Microsoft press conference report


Nintendo conference:

FULL SIZE IMAGE
Nintendo press conference report


Sony conference

FULL SIZE IMAGE
Sony press conference report

[hasanJ]

in short MS was the best :8

[Chandoo]

in short MS kept the fans most positive, this isn't best or worst.

but kinda surprising Uncharted 2 or God of war 3 not making bumps, hell MAG has a bigger bump compared to Uncharted 2.

[devilscallmedad]

First let me say WOW ! i know people will be saying why waste so much time on this silly stuff but its right up my alley and i love putting abstract stuff and finding mathematical relationships. Kudos to the guys who did it.

but kinda surprising Uncharted 2 or God of war 3 not making bumps, hell MAG has a bigger bump compared to Uncharted 2

Well this is what they said
"For a known quantity, Uncharted 2 had a surprising positive reaction, while the first gameplay demo of MAG had a surprisingly negative reaction."

[Rognarke]

We have to understand that these scientific studies take into considerations and some assumptions and hence no study can be a 100% accurate. That being said, it's really good to see MS putting up good numbers nevertheless

[Faddi]

i really dont care....holly molly these calculations r wrong...:P

[azharkhan]

Who cares about scientific calculations IMO Sony waz the best...!

[SolitarySoldier]

^ That is actually more surprising than anything else.... A PC gamer said Sony was the best. :P

[hasanJ]

ppl say Sony was the best

i think they say so because they liked the CONTENT Sony showed
But presentation wise Sony was dead boring compared to MS

[azharkhan]

^ That is actually more surprising than anything else.... A PC gamer said Sony was the best. :P

I Love God of War series...!
And Sony showed GOW 3 thats why it is my favoutite...!
Other than dat Uncharted 2 and Psp Go were also great...!
BTW i only watched Sony's press conf. and no one else's...!:P